July 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Thursday July 1st 2021


 Canada Day

Not much to celebrate this year.

Click here for weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

Marina de La Paz

I woke at six, dozed until seven then got up.  Looking around, I see a typical day developing with sun and a light breeze.  Temperature is 22°C. Predictions are for light winds and highs around 90°F (32°C).

I could do just about anything today.  I need a few groceries, but not much and could get by fine without anything.  Maybe I should just untie and go.  It is a different world out there.

Or, I could just go walking this morning, with no destination in mind.  I could ride a colectivo to see where it goes.

La Paz is at the highest covid risk now we are told.   What is the real risk?  There is no way of knowing.  Everyone is different.

 *   *   *   *   *   *   *

I didn't drink beer yesterday and I'll skip beer drinking, at least until darts tonight, assuming I go. We'll see.
 

Drinking beer, even one, makes me lazy and unfocussed and the effect lasts a day or two afterwards.  It is probably not healthy.  Maybe that is why I drink it.  I'm depressed.

With things as they are, being too sharp and conscious is painful.  I really don't know what the truth is but I do know what we are being told is not it.

World Economic Forum releases guide on how to coerce and manipulate public into getting the Covid-19 Vaccine

Can you spot the biggest fallacy inherent in the efficacy numbers?? Read and then continue.

Outcome Reporting Bias in COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Clinical Trials - PubMed (nih.gov)
"Relative risk reduction and absolute risk reduction measures in the evaluation of clinical trial data are poorly understood by health professionals and the public. The absence of reported absolute risk reduction in COVID-19 vaccine clinical trials can lead to outcome reporting bias that affects the interpretation of vaccine efficacy.

Vaccine Makers Claim COVID Shots Are ‘95% Effective’ — But What Does That Mean?

"Pfizer told the FDA that eight (of approximately 22,000) volunteers in its vaccine group developed a PCR-confirmed case of COVID-19, versus 162 (0.74%) of 22,000 volunteers in the placebo group. Moderna reported a similar spread — five out of 15,000 in the vaccine group versus 90 out of 15,000 in the placebo group.

"When one does the math, the Pfizer clinical trial numbers showed: “The risk reduction in absolute terms [was] only 0.7%, from an already very low risk of 0.74% [in the placebo group] to a minimal risk of 0.04% [in the vaccine group].” (Dividing 0.7 — the difference between the two groups — by 0.74 is the mathematical calculation that produced the touted “95% effective” number)

Okay.  Did you figure it out?   There are actually two issues.

  1. First, the assumption seems to be that everyone is equally susceptible to the virus.  It is known that a large segment of the population of unknown exact magnitude (maybe 50%) is immune or resistant to covid to various degrees and for various reasons. Those participants would never have caught covid with or without the treatment.
  2. The second problem is this: Relative efficacy and absolute efficacy are calculated from those that actually caught covid in the trial.
    No one knows to what extent the participants were exposed to the virus.  Some perhaps had intense exposure and some none at all. Therefore the actual efficacy cannot be know without actually actively exposing all participants to a known dose of the pathogen and that was not done, nor can it ethically be done. 

As with a lot of math we are shown in models this is simply a SWAG posing as science. It is the blind leading the blind.

See also
Principles of Epidemiology

The difference between ‘vaccine efficacy’ and ‘vaccine effectiveness’

And for one more time...


It's time to follow the scientific method and re-evaluate Canada's COVID approach

Did you know that the average age of Canada’s COVID-19 deaths in 2020 was almost 84 years, while the average age at death in Canada in 2019 was only 76.5 years?

 *   *   *   *   *   *   *

From the Danielle Smith Community

> OK...but question is WHY do they want us vaccinated.

That is my question. It makes no sense and as they say, "Figures can't lie, but liars can figure". The numbers sound convincing unless you actually understand them and most folks, even doctors and bureaucrats, don't.

If only 162 of the 22,000 untreated volunteers went PCR positive (not necessarily sick) and 8 of the treated went PCR positive during the study, the risk either way is vanishingly small. I'm guessing infection risk is in the order of vaccine risk, especially when we consider that everyone who gets the jab is immediately at risk of adverse effects while only a portion of the un-jabbed may ever be exposed to or infected with covid itself. Apples and oranges. Of course that was in a specific time period and over longer times the numbers could be expected to increase, but at the same time natural background immunity would be increasing reducing infection, so extrapolation is risky.

Add to that the fact that about 50% of sampled US blood donors show antibodies (includes some inoculated) and that means that maybe 11,000 of the 22,000 were safe anyhow plus an unknown number who were resistant in other ways.

"Pfizer told the FDA that eight (of approximately 22,000) volunteers in its vaccine group developed a PCR-confirmed case of COVID-19, versus 162 (0.74%) of 22,000 volunteers in the placebo group. Moderna reported a similar spread — five out of 15,000 in the vaccine group versus 90 out of 15,000 in the placebo group.

"When one does the math, the Pfizer clinical trial numbers showed: “The risk reduction in absolute terms [was] only 0.7%, from an already very low risk of 0.74% [in the placebo group] to a minimal risk of 0.04% [in the vaccine group].” (Dividing 0.7 — the difference between the two groups — by 0.74 is the mathematical calculation that produced the touted “95% effective” number)

Vaccine Makers Claim COVID Shots Are ‘95% Effective’
But What Does That Mean?

"Examining a statistic called absolute risk reduction — the number of percentage points that an individual’s risk goes down if they do something “protective” — the two companies’ COVID vaccines barely make a dent at all, reducing someone’s risk of experiencing COVID symptoms (the clinical trials’ endpoint) by less than 1%. This is the practical number that people are likely to care about most.

What is hidden right out in plain view in the Pfizer study, the same study that touts the relative efficacy number of 95% is that if only 170 people  in entire 37,000 subjects tested positive, Covid is not a huge threat and we don't need vaccines!

162 out of 22,000 untreated folks in the Pfizer trial came down  with a positive PCR (not necessarily illness) and 8 in the treated group were positive.

It should have been immediately obvious to anyone reading the study that the risk of infection in that population was virtually zero.  In fact, the number of 'infections' were so small in number they are virtually noise and in the range of possible error.  We really should have taken a good look at the raw data and looked at it from all angles.  I gather no one did.

Further, those who tested positive did not necessarily have symptoms, but just showed positive in a routine test known to be oversensitive and non-specific.

170 people in 37,000 subjects is hardly a crisis or justification for administering a drug to everyone.

What is clear from the study is this:

  1. Under the study conditions, those who did not get vaccinated faced a real but very small risk (162 in 22,000 or 0.74%) of encountering the virus and testing positive, not necessarily becoming noticeably ill, and a much smaller risk of actual enduring harm from the virus. 

  2. HOWEVER, while the injections seem to reduce the likelihood of becoming positive in the test, 100% of those who submit to the 'jab' face the risks of known adverse events including neurological damage, MS, and death.

I went to darts.  I mentioned going to San Evaristo and Richard, Brandy and I agreed to go for five days leaving on Saturday.

When I walked back to MLP, I saw Vicki and Andrew sitting on a bench and joined them.  Both had their dogs with them. 

Dogs on boats keep the owners busy, having to go to shore at least once a day so I see them around a lot.

We got to talking and Vicki pulled out a bottle of rum.  After an hour or so I returned to Baja Magic and went to bed.

*   *   *   *   *   *   *

BEE-L Archives
BEE-L Archive Search

  Ivermectin and Other Cheap Drugs
  vs. COVID-19(84) 

  Alternate News and Opinion Sources. 

Quote of the Day
In order to write about life first you must live it
 Ernest Hemingway

Don't forget to go back and see the additions and corrections
Read Yesterday's Post

The world has changed and not for better
Go back a year
Two years.

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

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Friday July 2nd 2021

Click here for weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

Marina de La Paz

I woke at seven and got up.  I was a bit bleary from the rum but feeling fine.  I made coffee and an omelette and listened to the net, then caught up on email. 

Today I have to organise the boat for three people. I think I'll claim the aft cabin--captain's privilege--and let the others work out their accommodations. 

Food will be the next consideration and we will discuss that when they come here for a planning meeting at noon today.

Richard came at 1145 and was impatient for lunch so we went to The Dock Restaurant and encountered Brandy on the way.  When we entered, we found Paul at a table outside and joined him for a while.

After he left we discussed the trip and agreed everyone would buy provisions for him/herself.

I am back at the boat tidying but it is hot. I'll go to Chedraui at some point before we leave.

*   *   *   *   *   *   *

California Begs For More Electricity As Shift To Renewable Power Leaves State In The Dark

Pastor Tim Stephens freed from Alberta jail

Calgary doctor says family fears for safety after confrontation with Health Minister Tyler Shandro

AHS suing Calgary mayoral candidate Kevin J. Johnston for $1.3M  

Controversial Calgary mayoral candidate Kevin J. Johnston denied bail again 

Kevin J. Johnston supporters corner Alberta Health Minister Tyler Shandro's family at Canada Day event

Alberta health minister, wife and children mobbed and harassed during Canada Day parade 

Chris Selley: Feds sow needless confusion over public health rules

 

*   *   *   *   *   *   *

New Study Links "Acute Chest Pain" In Male Soldiers To mRNA Vaccines

Prevention and Attenuation of COVID-19 by BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 Vaccines 

New data from CDC on effectiveness of Pfizer and Moderna COVID-19 vaccines 

Interim Estimates of Vaccine Effectiveness of Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna COVID-19 Vaccines Among Health Care Personnel — 33 U.S. Sites, January–March 2021

Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine

Vaccine Makers Claim COVID Shots Are ‘95% Effective’ — But What Does That Mean?

Outcome Reporting Bias in COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Clinical Trials

Myocarditis Following Immunization With mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines in Members of the US Military

Prion diseases or transmissible spongiform encephalopathies (TSEs) are a family of rare progressive neurodegenerative disorders that affect both humans and animals. They are distinguished by long incubation periods,... https://dundasvalley.files.wordpress.com/2021/03/covid19-rna-based-vaccines-and-the-risk-of-prion-disease-1503.pdf

Outcome Reporting Bias in COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Clinical Trials

Five Asian countries will build 600 coal plants, wreck world, but who cares

10,000 Died While Waiting In Canada

Mask-wearing reduces COVID-19 transmission significantly, study finds

 

I walked down to Estrella to be there for Linda's birthday cake and be at the party.  The cake was ,as always, far too sweet but I ate a little piece.  I had yet to go to Chedraui and Richard offered to drive me.

I bought groceries but no beer was available after six PM.  I Ubered home and surprised myself by being able to chat with the driver.

I put the groceries away and communicated with Brandy and Richard, agreeing to leave a bit after nine instead of eight so that she can pick up beer when it is on sale at nine.

*   *   *   *   *   *   *

BEE-L Archives
BEE-L Archive Search

  Ivermectin and Other Cheap Drugs
  vs. COVID-19(84) 

  Alternate News and Opinion Sources. 

Quote of the Day
There are no regrets in life, just lessons
Jennifer Aniston

Don't forget to go back and see the additions and corrections
Read Yesterday's Post

The world has changed and not for better
Go back a year
Two years.

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Saturday July 3rd 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

Marina de La Paz

Today we leave.

I had last minute shuffling of items from the vee berth and other last-minute tasks and got them done by the time the others arrived.

Richard, Brandy and I left the dock at 0935 and motored north.

We chose a direct route to Isla San Francisco, a straight line instead of the route near the islands, and arrived there at 6:35. 

We checked for room behind the hook and there was limited space, so anchored in the northeast corner.  That was a mistake.  We were subject to swells there.

I went snorkelling and returned.  Brandy went below to make supper and soon was seasick. I had Transderm on hand and gave her a patch and after a while she was better.

The night proved to be very rough and we were being tossed around from various directions.  Brandy was unaccustomed to rough seas so we worried about her and I was up and down all night. 

Sunday July 4th 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

In the morning the sea was still heaving and some boats had left so we moved behind the hook (B) and I went snorkelling on the point, then Richard swam to the north shore and we moved the mother ship back to where we had spent the night (A) to snorkel the northwest shore.

We all swam a while, then, around noon, we re-boarded and set sail for Punta Ostiones and Bahia Amortajada.

The wind was light so we motored and I let Brandy steer.  She found it quite fun once she figured it out. 

We hunted for the north entrance to the lagoon and anchored once halfway along the point (C), but then moved to the entrance once we spotted it. 

Once anchored, Brandy and Richard put on sun block and immediately  honey bees began visiting the boat, entering the portlights and companionway.

I assume they were attracted by the smell and had been trained to the spot by an earlier visitor. Here on the desert and seashore they need fresh water desperately so any source soon attracts a cloud of bees and the scent of sun block reveals there is a cruising boat nearby, with fresh water available in any hanging laundry, towels and the galley..

That panicked my crew.

Richard claims to be allergic, but does not carry an Epi-Pen so I wondered.  Apparently he had his face swell up once.

So did mine when I first started bees.  That is not allergy, but there is no arguing with a panicked crew, so we left and missed out on the lagoon.

We raised the spinnaker and ran down to San Evaristo where we snorkelled in the north bay, then anchored in front of the restaurant only to find it was closed. Brandy and I went in to the tienda and I bought some cheese balls and garbanzos.  We sat in  the cockpit until dusk and that was another day.

Monday July 5th 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

This night we were behind the reef and although there was some wind from the south, was mostly calm and we had almost no swells.

In the morning we set sail for Nopolo and cruised by the town, then tacked across the channel and back.  We anchored on the second beach south of Bahia Nopolo and went snorkelling.  This spot was fantastic.

Huge rocks had fallen off the cliffs and the chasms between them were ideal homes for fish. Moreover the growth on the rocks were fascinating and the water was clear enough for visibility thirty feet down.

I finished my swim and after a while, since Brandy had not returned, took the dinghy searching and found her on the beach in Bahia Nopolo a quarter mile or more away to the north.

People snorkel long distances.  Swimming with fins and mask isn't tiring and we are so buoyant in this saltwater that there is no struggle to stay afloat.

Once back on board we decided to return to San Evaristo where we anchored near the closed restaurant which we were told might be open tomorrow.  It turned out the tienda was closed too now.

Baja Sur is now suddenly red on the covid scale and things are closing down.  I gather BCS is not one of the states with ivermectin distributed like Mexico City which squelched its outbreaks quickly by doing so.  I mentioned ivermectin to my Rotary friend and he is off to whisper in the government's ear.

Tuesday July 6th 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

We had anchored near the restaurant as the previous night, expecting a south wind again, but the wind turned northwest and blew us into water shallower than I found comfortable so that kept me awake until I took up some chain around midnight and slept better.

We planned to be back in La Paz Wednesday so we motored out of the bay and found six-foot swells and a strong wind coming directly against us. 

Richard seems to like pounding upwind but it is slow and hard on the boat and I wondered about Brandy.  She had been up for breakfast but now was sleeping soundly on one of the cockpit benches and that worried me.  I said we are stopping at Isla San Francisco to wait until the wind drops at noon which it usually can be expected to do. Richard was a bit passive aggressive but we turned in.

We anchored behind the hook again where it was calm and I went snorkelling on the point and it was wonderful.

Around one the wind had dropped and although it was still on the nose, we were not pounding into big swells. By the time we approached Isla Partida, the winds and waves had diminished to near calm.

Richard had in mind to anchor in Candelaro and we motored in but I knew it was exposed and would be uncomfortable so we headed for Bahia Gallo which has a hook and is the only bay with southwest protection. 

We still had lots of day left and when we got to Isla Ballena, I thought we should explore.  For one thing, the north shore is sheltered from the prevailing winds.

I found a nice spot where there was no wind and little current and dropped the hook in fifty feet.  The scenery there is incredible with rocks of every sort and shape forming the cliffs protecting us. Richard was worried about a rock bottom but we held well and Brandy and I dinghied around the island then went snorkelling. 

That place was amazing with clear water, fantastic underwater terrain and plenty of fish. 

We returned to the boat and there was a little wrap-around swell.  Brandy said she thought we'll have another rough night. I did not think so but saw a calmer spot east of us on the shore so we raised anchor and went there.  We tried for a while but could not get the anchor to catch and by then it was getting dark.

That had been a bad move.  I should trust my own instinct and not those of tyros.  I tend to be too agreeable

We could not stay and maybe could go back to the first spot but I said okay let's go to Gallo. When we rounded the end of Ballena we encountered the full force of the wind and waves--and it soon became pitch dark.

Fortunately I have a very good chart and can navigate blind so we proceeded. The destination was about an hour off. My stern light seems to be burned out and is obstructed by the dinghy and we saw a cat coming up behind so I flashed the flashlight on our stern but he probably has radar.  Who knows?

 

The cat passed us as we approached Isla Gallo and we still had forty minutes of bashing into the dark if we carried on to Ensenada de Gallina and I wondered if there might be a good spot in behind Isla Gallo so we idled up to Isla Gallo and found we were in a backeddy and unlike where we had been moments before wind and waves were almost dead calm.

We dropped anchor in forty feet, two hundred feet off a cliff headland and it held, so we settled in for the night in peace.  Wind and waves were raging only hundreds of yards away to the east and west but we were safe.

Wednesday July 7th 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

In the morning we had breakfast and could see the whitecaps out in the channel.  I figured we could stay where we were for two or three hours and maybe snorkel. The wind would likely die by then but Richard was hot to go so off we went. 

Did I mention I am too easygoing and even when I know better tend to go along with less informed folks unless their ignorance leads to disaster.

In this case it just led to two hours of bashing into waves until I suggested we alter course to El Tecolote which took us out of the path of the swells and much of the wind.  By then the wind and waves were dying anyhow, just as as I had expected.  That generally happens around noon.

We got to El Tecolote, anchored and dinghied to shore.  I had called Calvin from offshore and he arrived to pick them up a while after noon. By then we had had beer and nachos and Brandy had bought junk from the beach vendors.

Once they left I motored over to Punta Diablo and snorkelled a while and napped.  The snorkelling was excellent today with clear water and a variety of fish.

From there I sailed into Playa Pichilingue and anchored for the night.

Thursday July 8th 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

At Playa Pichilingue

I woke at 0530 and had coffee and an omelette.  I'm catching up the diary and at nine I pick up friends on shore to go snorkelling.

At nine no one showed so I phoned.  Linda had heard the beaches are closed this morning due to covid and not bothered to call me.  I told her that people were coming and going at the boat ramp and that there should be no problem. Eventually they arrived and I ferried Linda, Jane, And Calvin out to BM.

Linda said they had been stopped and the beach was closed but that going to the boat ramp to meet a boat was okay and they had been let pass.  If they had come before nine as scheduled, they would have encountered no one.  The roadblocks start at nine.

We motored over to Caleta Lobos and tried a section of shore that looked promising and it turned out to be among the best we have encountered. 

From there we motored across to nearby Isla El Merito, which is still my favourite local spot and has been for years.  For the first time I circled the island and saw parts I had missed in the past.

We returned to Playa Pichilingue around four and I dropped them off at the beach and went back out to to nap and catch up on things.

Colin called and we chatted.  I raised the dinghy at dusk and went o bed shortly after.

Friday July 9th 2021

Weather at The Old Schoolhouse.

At Playa Pichilingue

I woke at 0310 and had coffee and an omelette then went back to bed until seven. The night was rolly but not bad and the anchor held just fine.

I'll go back to La Paz once the seas settle in a few hours.  Time to wash the boat and get more watre.  I'll go to hear Captain Wayne tonight as much  to see friends as for the music.

It is eleven and sure enough the wind has dropped.  If PredictWind is right I should have wind from the north soon to carry me back to La Paz.

I made a stew and relaxed, waiting for the breeze to switch direction. 

*   *   *   *   *   *   *

Watch the live stream on the 9th of July at 12:00 

FDA, CDC Condradict Pfizer, Claim There's No Need For "Booster" Vaccines... Yet 

Vaccines, not the magic bullet the advertisers claim

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Another prominent scientist speaks against the covid vaccine

Having a more intense response to 2nd COVID-19 vaccine dose? Here’s why

Watch As Fascist Police In Canada Try To Fine People On Beach For Having Too Many In Group, Get Embarassed When They Learn They Are Clueless On The Law 

A Must Read For Freedom Lovers Everywhere—Why Most Fell for the Lockdowns, While a Few Stood for Liberty

COVID-19 early treatment: real-time analysis of 725 studies 

Epidemiologic analyses on Ivermectin in COVID-19 | FLCCC | Front Line COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance

While COVID-19 is Raging, Flu Cases Remain Unusually Low 

Flu Vaccine: Research on Single Dose Shot

At three the wind was from the north and I raised sail and ran back to La Paz. 

Rather than go around near Costa Baja, I crossed the bar at the one spot where I have a foot of clearance when the tide is up two feet.  That route saves a some hassle rounding the various buoys and the wind shifts in the wind shadow of the headland there.

I arrived home and found that Moli was partly in my space, making docking difficult and tying up impossible.  The dock staff did not respond on the radio and I had to walk around and enquire to finally locate someone.

He moved Moli and I tied up, then went to buy beer at the tienda, assuming I had until six.  The rules have changed and now the cut-off is five.

I returned to BM and hosed down the salon sole and bilges, then rinsed off the deck and cockpit.

I reconciled to having lost my new anchor-- probably stolen from my dinghy--and ordered another that should arrive next week.

After supper I watched YouTube video until bedtime.

*   *   *   *   *   *   *

Quote of the Day

Don't forget to go back and see the additions and corrections
Read Yesterday's Post

The world has changed and not for better
Go back a year
Two years.

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